Will a federal Georgist Land Value Tax (LVT) get implemented in the US by 2029?
Will a federal Georgist Land Value Tax (LVT) get implemented in the US by 2029?
16
1kṀ36762029
7%
chance
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Resolves YES if Land Value Tax is implemented in some form federally by 2029.
Resolves NO otherwise.
This resolves as YES only if a Federal LVT gets implemented (city, state LVTs would not qualify). The tax does not have to replace the US federal income tax. If it's unclear whether the US has implemented a LVT, I will defer to either @LarsDoucet or @ScottAlexander if they write about it.
Related to https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/is-doge-implementing-land-value-tax, but a timeframe of Trump's term.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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