Will a real alternative to EUV emerge before 2028?
Basic
2
Ṁ372028
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I read a thing on twitter from Tsmc employee. If a process that seriously competes with EUV comes out, then this resolves. I’ll be fair in judging it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China have a domestic EUV maker by 2030?
48% chance
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2027?
70% chance
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?
84% chance
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?
22% chance
Will China invent a domestic version of ASML’s EUV lithographic machine tool by January 1, 2030?
56% chance
Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?
71% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
63% chance
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2027?
10% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2029?
22% chance