Will LLaMA-3 be on par with or better than GPT-4?

41

1kṀ5319

resolved Aug 4

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will LLaMA-3 at release tie or exceed the scores of GPT-4 (at release i.e. gpt-4-0314) on at least half of the follow benchmarks: MMLU, HellaSwag, AI2 Reasoning Challenge, WinoGrande, HumanEval, DROP, GSM8K, TriviaQA, 1 point each tie if scores are within 1%, point tie to LLAMA.

GPT-4 speculation

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ836
2		Ṁ109
3		Ṁ63
4		Ṁ59
5		Ṁ29

Sort by:

@alexlitz Can this market resolve yet? Thanks!

predictedYES

@SirCryptomind No can push close time though.

People are also trading

Will I be impressed by GPT-5?

When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?

Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?

Related questions

Will I be impressed by GPT-5?

When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?

Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy