Will LLaMA-3 be on par with or better than GPT-4?
36
757
670
2025
84%
chance

Will LLaMA-3 at release tie or exceed the scores of GPT-4 (at release i.e. gpt-4-0314) on at least half of the follow benchmarks: MMLU, HellaSwag, AI2 Reasoning Challenge, WinoGrande, HumanEval, DROP, GSM8K, TriviaQA, 1 point each tie if scores are within 1%, point tie to LLAMA.

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@alexlitz Can this market resolve yet? Thanks!

predicts YES

@SirCryptomind No can push close time though.