Will Samsung actually drop Google to adopt Bing on its devices?

closes Dec 31

18%

chance

ALL

Will Korean giant Samsung effectively decide to replace Google Search with Microsoft Bing on all of its new devices?

Context: https://www.reuters.com/technology/alphabet-falls-report-samsung-considering-bing-default-search-engine-2023-04-17/

and https://gizmodo.com/google-stock-drop-samsung-bing-search-engine-galaxy-1850345119

Market closes at the end of 2023 or earlier in case Samsung confirm the decision officially.

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ShadowyZephyr

What happens if they drop Google in some countries, but not in others? This seems to be a likely scenario

AAis predicting YES at 41%

@ShadowyZephyr tricky. I understand the point - I think I'd still resolve the market as YES if they start to drop Google in some countries, it's still a big thing that could be a turning point. Of course the switch could not be done entirely overnight.

firstuserherebought Ṁ50 of YES

@alby how's the situation in korea (where Samsung is from)? Is Google the default everywhere rn?

AAis predicting YES at 44%

@firstuserhere I think Google is default everywhere right now

higherLEVELING

@firstuserhere i searched: default search engine in korea
this came up:

Body host bought Ṁ10 NO at 18%

Strigoides bought Ṁ50 NO from 19% to 18%

Joshua sold Ṁ67 NO from 18% to 19%

Emilio Montejano Mora bought Ṁ10 NO at 18%

Strigoides bought Ṁ50 NO from 19% to 18%

Body host bought Ṁ10 NO at 19%

Body host sold Ṁ4 YES from 20% to 19%

Strigoides bought Ṁ50 NO at 20%

Strigoides bought Ṁ55 NO from 21% to 20%

Strigoides bought Ṁ50 NO from 22% to 21%

Strigoides bought Ṁ40 NO from 23% to 22%

Strigoides bought Ṁ60 NO from 25% to 23%

Strigoides bought Ṁ5 NO at 25%

Strigoides bought Ṁ23 NO at 25%

Strigoides bought Ṁ40 NO from 26% to 25%

Strigoides bought Ṁ20 NO from 27% to 26%

Hyperpolitan bought Ṁ30 YES from 25% to 27%

Mick Bransfield bought Ṁ10 NO at 25%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ19/Ṁ100 YES at 25% (cancelled) 🤖

Strigoides bought Ṁ20 NO at 24%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ57/Ṁ100 NO at 24% (cancelled) 🤖

Strigoides bought Ṁ40 NO from 26% to 25%

Strigoides bought Ṁ35 NO from 27% to 26%

Strigoides bought Ṁ40 NO from 29% to 27%

Strigoides bought Ṁ14 NO at 29%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ33/Ṁ100 YES at 29% (cancelled) 🤖

Strigoides bought Ṁ35 NO from 27% to 26%

Strigoides bought Ṁ35 NO from 28% to 27%

Strigoides bought Ṁ30 NO from 29% to 28%

Strigoides bought Ṁ20 NO from 30% to 29%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ19/Ṁ100 YES at 30% (cancelled) 🤖

Strigoides bought Ṁ85 NO from 31% to 29%

Strigoides bought Ṁ45 NO from 33% to 31%

Strigoides bought Ṁ5 NO at 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ34/Ṁ100 YES at 33% (cancelled) 🤖

Strigoides bought Ṁ80 NO from 33% to 30%

Strigoides bought Ṁ49 NO from 35% to 33%

Strigoides bought Ṁ1 NO at 35%

Strigoides bought Ṁ4 NO at 35%

Hayden Jackson sold Ṁ207 YES from 36% to 35%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ44 YES from 39% to 36%

Richard Suxton sold Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 39%

Richard Suxton bought Ṁ10 YES from 39% to 40%

Primer bought Ṁ40 NO from 41% to 39%

Primer created limit order for Ṁ40 NO at 42%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ100 YES at 41% (cancelled)

Hyperpolitan bought Ṁ100 NO from 44% to 39%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ50 YES from 41% to 44%

Berg sold Ṁ21 NO from 40% to 41%

Shuf sold Ṁ8 YES at 40%

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Will a browser not made by Google or Apple have at least a 15% market share by the end of 2023?6%

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Will Microsoft be the subject of a copyright infringement court case due to Bing in 2023?54%

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Will Apple charge a company over $25b to be the default search on iPhone in 2023?28%

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Will Google release a phone with a screen size 6" or less in 2023?20%

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Will Google Chrome remain the most popular browser by the end of 2025?81%

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?36%

Nathan Young

Will Bing's chat model get shut down before 2024?13%

Rahul Shah

Will Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?92%

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Will Google Chrome remain the most popular browser by the end of 2024?87%

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Samsung phone with Segment Anything by 2023 end?45%

Related markets

Gigacasting

Will Bing compete with Google?23%

Scott Lawrence

Will Bing surpass Google by 2030?23%

Javi

Will I be using Bing more frequently than Google search by 2023/7/1?25%

Andy Martin

Will Google create a new internally-developed smartphone model and sell it widely at some point in the year 2025 or 2026?74%

Brian T. Edwards

Will Bing Chat no longer be available on Bing Search at the end of 2023?12%

Anton Iokov

Will a browser not made by Google or Apple have at least a 15% market share by the end of 2023?6%

Shadequester Shadequester

Will any search engine surpass Bing by end of June 20233%

Isaac

Will Google still be the most popular search engine at the end of 2024?90%

Ron Wiener

Will Microsoft operated search engines pass 20% market share by end of 2024?19%

Jon Simon

Will "Binging" replace "Googling" as a term for online search by 2030?10%

Esben Kran

Will Microsoft be the subject of a copyright infringement court case due to Bing in 2023?54%

Sky

Will Apple charge a company over $25b to be the default search on iPhone in 2023?28%

wasabipesto

Will Google release a phone with a screen size 6" or less in 2023?20%

Ammon Lam

Will Google Chrome remain the most popular browser by the end of 2025?81%

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?36%

Nathan Young

Will Bing's chat model get shut down before 2024?13%

Rahul Shah

Will Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?92%

firstuserhere

Samsung phone with Segment Anything by 2024 end?56%

Ammon Lam

Will Google Chrome remain the most popular browser by the end of 2024?87%

firstuserhere

Samsung phone with Segment Anything by 2023 end?45%