Will agent-LLM-populated virtual worlds be popular in 2024?
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Dec 31
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Prediction #21 from @ZviMowshowitz's post On AutoGPT:

The first popular online Sims-Westworlds, settings where many if not most or all non-human characters are agent-LLMs, will start coming out quickly, with early systems available within a few months at most, and the first popular and actually fun one within the year even if underlying LLM tech does not much advance. There will be lots of them in 2024, both single player and multiplayer, running the whole range from classrooms to very adult themes.

Edit: Some clarification, it must be an interactive graphical video game. Agent LLM NPCs means not just LLM generated NPC dialogue but where an NPC's actions are determined by an LLM, such as an internal LLM monologue which is not visible to players.

Popular is defined as more than one high quality game available, with multiple media articles noting the popularity of games of this type.

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I mean, we kinda have AI Dungeon already? But I assume it means more interactivity, 2D/3D graphics, etc.

predicts YES

@ErikBjareholt I don't think ai dungeon npcs are "agent LLMs"

Would livestreams of LLM-populated worlds count? Because we already have a few of those.

This hinges heavily on your definition of "popular" could you be more specific? I csn see say 10k DAUs but say 1M DAUs seems a stretch...

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@MartinModrak not a problem, we can ask gpt if the game is popular.

@MartinModrak Agreed. Waiting to bet till we get some details.

@MartinModrak is there a good source for DAU numbers? The only one I can find is Steam which lists peak concurrent users. And there's App Store rankings for mobile games.

predicts NO

@ahalekelly I don't have one. It was just a metric I findveasy to speculate about. Any other metric of popularity will improve the market, including vague ones (e.g. press coverage)