By EOY 2024, will it be publicly known that ARC found any model to be able to survive and spread?
20
115
Ṁ572Ṁ390
Dec 31
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As in, will it be known that ARC did their dangerous capability eval on some model (from whoever that model might come) and found that model capable of spreading and surviving?
Only counts if it's publicly known.
If there are public rumors not confirmed by ARC or model trainer org, I will resolve based on my personal credence that they're credible.
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