Will Manifold look positively at the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sides on June 21st 2025 at their anniversary?
21
1kṀ14742026
37%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On June 21st 2026 this market will close and I will create a poll that stays open for one week and asks "Do you think the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sides was a good decision?" with options YES and NO.
How will the poll resolve? A perfect tie in the poll counts as neutral and this market will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US bombs Iran in July 2025?
7% chance
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
26% chance
Will the U.S. strike Iran’s oil or gas infrastructure by August 31, 2025?
22% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?
50% chance
Will the U.S. deploy a tactical nuclear weapon against Iran’s nuclear facility before January 2026?
4% chance
Will Iran test a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
7% chance
IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
58% chance
[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?
37% chance