Will Manifold look positively at the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sides on June 21st 2025 at their anniversary?

Question

On June 21st 2026 this market will close and I will create a poll that stays open for one week and asks "Do you think the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sides was a good decision?" with options YES and NO.

How will the poll resolve? A perfect tie in the poll counts as neutral and this market will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (27 traders, as of Apr 7, 2026).

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