What percentage of Manifold users are part of the alt-right?
18
Ṁ370Ṁ1.7kresolved Feb 1
Resolved as
4%1H
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Resolves PROB to the number of people in the above poll who select option 1 ("I know what the alt-right political movement is, and I consider myself a member of the alt-right.") divided by the total number of people who select option 1 and option 2 ("I know what the alt-right political movement is, and I do NOT consider myself a member of the alt-right."). This way, people who haven't heard of the alt-right but like clicking on poll numbers won't influence the market.
This market will resolve at the end of January 2023.
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@yaboi69 I don't think it's a bad thing to let people see and trade on results. More information should make the prediction more accurate.