Will the United Kingdom cease to proscribe Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham as a terrorist organisation by the end of 2026?
4
100Ṁ42
2026
53%
chance

Background

Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham is a proscribed terrorist organisation in the United Kingdom.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, the United Kingdom deproscribes Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham under the Terrorism Act 2000, or changes the law in such a way that Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham is no longer a proscribed terrorist organisation.

This market will otherwise resolve NO once the close date has passed.

Close date

This market is due to close at 00:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.

Resolution principles

  • It will be presumed that the event in question has not occurred until it is proven to have occurred.

  • In the event that the resolution of the market is subjective or contentious, traders will be properly consulted.

Interpretation principles

  • The resolution criteria will be interpreted in accordance with their apparent meaning, without regard to any intention of the market creator that is not evident in the text.

  • No clause, sentence or word in the resolution criteria will be considered superfluous, void or insignificant if by any other interpretation they may all be made useful and pertinent.

Further information and clarifications

I will not trade in this market.

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