Background

Russia currently recognises Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham as a terrorist organisation.

Resolution procedure

This market will resolve YES if Russia formally ceases to recognise Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham as a terrorist organisation by the end of 2026.

This market will resolve NO if Russia continues to recognise Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham as a terrorist organisation until the end of 2026.

Close date

This market is due to close at 21:00:00 UTC on 31 December 2026, although it may resolve YES sooner.

Further information

I permit Manifold's moderators to resolve this market in a manner consistent with the resolution procedure if my account is deleted or if I fail to respond to a request for resolution within two weeks of it being made.

I will not bet in this market.