Which party or coalition will win the statewide two-party-preferred count at the 2026 Victorian election?
2
100Ṁ132026
Labor51%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
The two-party-preferred count is the number of votes received by the Labor Party and the Liberal-National Coalition after preferences have been distributed. It is the headline figure of most opinion polls in Australia.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the party or coalition that, according to the Victorian Electoral Commission, wins a majority of the two-party-preferred vote at the 2026 general election for the Legislative Assembly in Victoria.
Further information
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