Which party or coalition will win the national two-party-preferred count at the 2025 Australian federal election?
3
100Ṁ1426resolved May 3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
Labor
1.0%
Liberal-National
Background
The two-party-preferred count is the number of votes received by the Labor Party and the Liberal-National Coalition after preferences have been distributed. It is the headline figure of most opinion polls in Australia.
At the 2022 federal election, Labor received 52.13% of the national two-party-preferred count and the Coalition received 47.87%.
Resolution
This market will resolve to the party or coalition that, according to the Australian Electoral Commission, wins a majority of the national two-party-preferred count at the 2025 general election for the House of Representatives.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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