Will Donald Trump spend at least a year continuously outside of USA territory while he's wanted there, or otherwise will likely be physically restrained for proceedings or punishment in case of appearance?

Due to the subjectivity involved in the evaluation of risks that Donald Trump may be facing, i won't trade in this market.

Improved version of https://manifold.markets/MikeMorin/will-donald-trump-be-the-first-us-p

Will Donald Trump be the first US President to live in exile?

13% chance.