Will Trump leave United States to avoid prosecution before 2030?
11
63
250
2029
19%
chance

This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.

They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.

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bought Ṁ3 of YES

i'm yes in the sense that i think there is a significant chance that he is convicted and i do see him as someone who would flee if given the means rather than face prison

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