Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?
16
closes 2050
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ67 +577.8%
New probability
16% +2%
This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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