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MANIFOLD
Will Manifold dip below 880 DAU (7d average) sometime in July 2023?
38
Ṁ630Ṁ28k
resolved Jul 10
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES as soon as Manifold dips below a 7-day average of 880 Daily Active Users some time in July.

Resolves NO otherwise.

The data source will be the stats page! For reference, on May 3, i see 1032 DAU.

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Manifold User Retention
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@Gambling_Gandalf will it keep going lower?

predictedYES

@Gambling_Gandalf

@Gambling_Gandalf Resolution please Mr Gandalf?

ok need to plan to take a break on the same days to drop the number. no rush still 3 wks left.

@higherLEVELING Stats graph hasn’t been updated in the last couple of days

predictedNO

@Gambling_Gandalf oo. i didn't notice.

predictedNO

@Gambling_Gandalf oh tru oh no. ok. do u think its up or down

predictedYES

@higherLEVELING 846 is for a single day, the question is for 7-day average

@Feanor Help me understand what it means when it says average dau last week. what would it be averaging?
and what does daily (7day) mean? cuz if u click on daily and daily 7days, two different numbers come up.

I'm assuming that daily means, per day.. and 7 day is for the week.

@higherLEVELING Yep, that 880 number is right on the threshold. That's what I'm going by

predictedYES

@Feanor okay tomorrow it is then

predictedNO

@higherLEVELING haha it's been going up ever since you commented this

I've removed Non-Predictive from this question 👍