When would AI first get a gold medal or equivalent in IMO (International Mathematics Olympiad)
14
310Ṁ1004Dec 31
8%
2024
77%
2025
5%
2026
3%
2027
2.0%
2028
5%
After 2028
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
76% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
68% chance
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
What will be the first year that an AI gets gold on an International Mathematical Olympiad?
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
84% chance
Will an AI publicly accessible before IMO 2025 get the gold medal on it?
22% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
93% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
88% chance
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
86% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
77% chance