Do you think we will get reliable evidence in 2024, of some nation state having used LLMs to generate propaganda?
31
resolved Dec 31
Yes
No
Results
i.e. actual propaganda that the public was exposed to.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will we find out about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages, what quarter of what year?
Will either Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2028 US elections?
61% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
47% chance
Will AI propaganda play a significant role in the 2028 presidential election.
70% chance
Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?
55% chance
Will evidence emerge that Anthropic's pursuit of regulatory capture is aided by U.S. Adversaries by 2027 year end?
10% chance