AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025

1kṀ23k

Dec 31

61%

chance

ALL

Set criteria:

Must be coherent
Must have coherent scenes and plot/plots/themes
Script may be provided separately, but must be AI generated
May resolve early

Technical AI Timelines

AI Culture War

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

36% chance

In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

77% chance

By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Sort by:

Initiator of the market deleted, how is it decided now?

bought Ṁ250 YES

Is this more in the flavour of “one model will sometimes be able to create a coherent 5-min film” or “one model will consistently output numerous coherent 5-min films”? I would interpret it as the former.

At what cost/availability?

bought Ṁ100 YES

i put it at an 80% chance yes, but will not be available to the public; will be demoed though by DeepMind or OAI

bought Ṁ600 NO

Obviously not

People are also trading

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

36% chance

In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

77% chance

By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

-5% 1d16% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions