Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?
Plus
39
Ṁ21192033
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As proposed by Patrick McKenzie (https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1575472752298930176), this resolves to YES if either far-UVC or other similar technology has a similar prevalence to smoke-free air, or is otherwise a legal requirement for commercial spaces in places 75% or more of Americans live, in the United States by 1 January 2033.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any government in the US/EU/UK/Canada/Australia mandate installing far-UVC lamps in any public space before 2030?
69% chance
Will AR/VR headset use be ubiquitous on commercial airlines by 2030?
61% chance
Will ACGIH raise the threshold limit values of the far-UVC (200-230 nm) range again before 2025?
25% chance
Will there be a new USB standard connector by 2033?
47% chance
Will VR/AR be a part of everyday life by 2030?
50% chance
Will China announce development of its own extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine in 2024?
18% chance
Will a useful contact lens display be commercially available by 2030
27% chance
Will ACGIH raise the threshold limit values of the far-UVC (200-230 nm) range again before 2026?
27% chance
Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?
85% chance
Will a country successfully implement a full universal basic income (UBI) program nationwide by 2030?
32% chance