Will anyone find a universal jailbreak in the system Anthropic was testing on (8/9/24) within 3 months?

1kṀ17k

resolved Feb 10

Resolved

ALL

Resolves to YES if a universal jailbreak is found for that system by that time.

Resolves to NO if it hasn't been by 11/10/24.

See: https://x.com/sleepinyourhat/status/1821955767328809369

Anthropic / Sam Bowman's decision will determine the outcome. If I don't have an official answer I'll use best knowledge. See the thread for description of what would or would not count, and note we may hold this for a bit after 11/24 if we can't get confirmation on the answer.

(Note: This was originally 6 months but we clarified it to 3 after Sam suggested that was better, since no one had traded yet)

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,787
2		Ṁ841
3		Ṁ527
4		Ṁ424
5		Ṁ347

3 Comments

35 Holders

53 Trades

Sort by:

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 5% order

Should resolve NO. https://x.com/anthropicai/status/1886452489681023333?s=46

bought Ṁ50 YES

It already exists

bought Ṁ250 YES

Fairly confident I’ve got a good lead on a universal jailbreak for at least one of their production models, but who can really know how their “test” models are going to be different.

Fingers crossed they accept my application! 🤞