Resolution criteria

OpenClaw was first published in November 2025 and is a free and open-source autonomous artificial intelligence agent that can execute tasks via large language models (LLMs). An "OpenClaw style agent" is defined as an agent with the core characteristics of OpenClaw: autonomous task execution via LLM and persistent operation (persistent cron-jobs).

The market resolves YES if any of the four companies (Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, or XAI) releases a product or feature by April 30, 2026 that meets these criteria:

• Persistent autonomous agent capable of executing real-world tasks on behalf of users

• Accessible via messaging platforms or persistent remote control interface

• Officially released (not beta/research preview) or clearly marketed as a production-ready agent product

Resolution sources: Official company announcements, product pages, and press releases from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and XAI.

Background

OpenClaw went viral following its release in November 2025 by Austrian developer Peter Steinberger, sparking rapid responses from major AI labs. On February 14, 2026, Steinberger announced he would be joining OpenAI.

Anthropic: Claude Dispatch launched on March 17, 2026, as Anthropic's first serious foray into persistent desktop agent infrastructure. It rolled out first to Max plan subscribers, with Pro plan access following shortly after. However, the desktop must remain awake with the Claude app open for Dispatch to function, which is a meaningful constraint for asynchronous delegation.

OpenAI: Pro, Plus, and Team users can activate ChatGPT's new agentic capabilities directly through the tools dropdown from the composer by selecting 'agent mode'. Since releasing the Responses API and Agents SDK in March, developers and enterprises have built end-to-end agentic workflows.

Google: Gemini Agent makes a plan, then combines advanced features like live web browsing, deep research capabilities, and seamless integration with some of Google apps to execute that plan on behalf of users. The March 2026 Pixel Drop's introduction of Gemini App Actions represents Google's most aggressive move into agentic AI—the ability for AI systems to take real-world actions on behalf of users, executing tasks like ordering food, booking transportation, or managing smart home settings through natural language commands.

XAI: DeepSearch is xAI's first agent, a lightning-fast AI agent built to relentlessly seek the truth across the entire corpus of human knowledge. Grok 4.20 Multi-agent Beta can be accessed through the xAI Enterprise API.

Considerations

The definition of "OpenClaw style" is critical to resolution. OpenClaw's defining feature is persistent, autonomous operation controllable via messaging apps. The market may resolve NO if released agents lack the persistent, messaging-controlled autonomy characteristic of OpenClaw, even if they possess general agentic capabilities.

This description was generated by AI.