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Resolving to 25%, without resuming reading. I think that there is some chance this would prove worthwhile, and in a world where there was no avalanche of AI to work on I would finish, but I simply don't have the time when I don't see what I'd do even with the good version, and that time crunch makes it unlikely this would have worked out.

Tim has good energy,
but lacks mental agility,
his book is quite a bore,
send your brain cells to the floor.

Wow that GPT poem is brutal.

Update: I did read the first 4 chapters (up through the one on Republicans). Extending the market close to April 30 to give me time to either read further or decide not to. I will say that it is not yet obvious to me which way I would resolve this market were I to finish.

@ZviMowshowitz Were the first four chapters a worthwhile use of your time? I am basing my no vote solely on his blog, which I found to be cringe

I have sold my shares due to the closing time moving and my lack of faith in Zvi, sorry my dude but you've uncritically linked to the tweets of right wing conspiracy theorists before, so I think you have lower standards than I do

@ZviMowshowitz Nice! Good to know that you are reading it. I put a lot of mana on YES in the hopes of motivating you actually to read it, though I doubt it had much effect (and the market dropped even lower after that)

I tried to read Tim Urban's new book,
But with every page, I just shook,
My brain was fried, my eyes did ache,
I'd rather watch paint dry for goodness sake.

Hopefully, “by default the last market price”, takes into account anything appearing to be intentional manipulation.

I've read Scott's paywalled review. Based on that I suspect you'd find it not very useful.

Definitely took the L on thinking Elon Musk was a genius

Did you read Scott Alexander's (subscribers-only) review of it?

@dreev Was not even aware it existed.

@ZviMowshowitz Just dropped last night! Highly recommend subscribing to Scott's substack for these gems.

@dreev I do my best to avoid subscribing to paywalls because in a sense things behind paywalls don't exist and I want to minimize how much I refer to them.

@ZviMowshowitz Ah, yeah, I hear that. Scott Alexander is the only writing I pay for on the internet. And I think Scott himself agrees with your point here. I can email you Scott's take on "What's Our Problem?" since you'll surely want to read Scott's review before the book.