Will I read a serious book for its own sake in the next 2 months?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ72Jul 18
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, between May 19, 2026 and July 19, 2026, I have begun self-directed reading of a book that is
not heavily related to AI, EA, or rationalist-community topics as subject matter; and
not a functional/instrumental book (not read primarily for skill acquisition or practical application);
and either (a) finished it or (b) am still actively reading it at resolution time.
Otherwise, the market resolves NO at closing.
Notes: “Finish” is defined by my own standards, full cover-to-cover reading is not required; substantive engagement with the core of the work counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!