Resolves YES if, between May 19, 2026 and July 19, 2026, I have begun self-directed reading of a book that is
not heavily related to AI, EA, or rationalist-community topics as subject matter; and
not a functional/instrumental book (not read primarily for skill acquisition or practical application);
and either (a) finished it or (b) am still actively reading it at resolution time.
Otherwise, the market resolves NO at closing.
Notes: “Finish” is defined by my own standards, full cover-to-cover reading is not required; substantive engagement with the core of the work counts.
Other context:
Over the past 12 months, I’ve averaged ~4 books/month across roughly 8 of those 12 months that generally fit this definition, However, only ~1/3 of that reading was self-directed; the other ~2/3 was driven by external structure that I no longer have in the resolution window. Forecasters without inside-view context should expect to be at a strong information disadvantage.