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Will Argentina's inflation in June 2024 be >270%? (May = 276%)
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Ṁ1kṀ3.5k
resolved Jul 19
Resolved
YES

Data source: OECD. Here are the (equivalent) recent monthly values:

  • 2024-Jan: 254.25%

  • 2024-Feb: 276.22%

  • 2024-Mar: 287.87%

  • 2024-Apr: 289.40%

  • 2024-May: 276.41%


This question is based on an existing Kalshi market—more details on resolution can be found there.

This market will close on July 6th, and I expect the official OECD numbers within the ~10 days after that.

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@traders resolves YES (271.53%). Bet on the market for July! I lowered the bar to 267%, as it looks like inflation might continue to slow.

/Ziddletwix/will-argentinas-inflation-in-july-2

271% https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/argentinas-inflation-edges-june-breaking-monthslong-streak-blow-111897146

Looks like it! will likely wait for the the #s to see on the OECD link (unless I'm missing it) and/or the Kalshi market to resolve to confirm

That is fair, especially since the result is really close. I expect all of these to ultimately derive from the same official source, though. Let's wait and see :)

[This](https://www.indec.gob.ar/uploads/informesdeprensa/ipc_07_24C42AFC489C.pdf) is the only official source and it's at 271.5%. Wait for OECD no problem

Link in description shows 271.53% today.

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