Data source: OECD. Here are the (equivalent) recent monthly values:
2024-Jan: 254.25%
2024-Feb: 276.22%
2024-Mar: 287.87%
2024-Apr: 289.40%
2024-May: 276.41%
2024-June: 271.53%
This question is based on an existing Kalshi market—more details on resolution can be found there.
This market will close on August 9th, and I expect the official OECD numbers within the ~10 days after that.
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@traders The July number was 263.45%. Resolves NO. Bet on August next! Can Milei keep the downward trend going?
263.4 from official source https://www.indec.gob.ar/uploads/informesdeprensa/ipc_08_24A32B39CB9C.pdf
so all that's left is to wait for OECD to update to resolve No
Oh wow, I managed to put in my bet on the last 5 minutes.
And I tried to edit this comment so that it looks less like a shitcomment, but it didn't work.
Data from the City of Buenos Aires shows inflation rose in July rather than falling, which suggests nationwide might be the same. I don't know the figures for the whole 12-month period, though.
We'll see.