The 2025 IMO (International Math Olympiad) will be held from July 10 - 20 in Australia.
This market resolves to the country that places first.
E.g. in 2024, the U.S.A. placed first, while between 2020 and 2023, China placed first 4 times in a row.
Resolves proportionally in the case of a tie (e.g. 2019 would have resolved 50/50% to China/USA).
This market will likely close before the winner is announced.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,149 | |
| 2 | Ṁ369 | |
| 3 | Ṁ177 | |
| 4 | Ṁ164 | |
| 5 | Ṁ137 |
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@musuko384 link? (I believe you but have poor service and cant easily confirm. If a mod sees this and wants to resolve go ahead)
Let's see what this does...
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@BrunoJ results are posted bud China 1 Usa 2 Korea 3 Poland 4 https://www.imo-official.org/results.aspx
@BrunoJ 19 July 2025 – Closing Ceremony and Great Australian BBQ Farewell Event
20 July 2025 – Departure Day
@traders I see evidence of market manipulation. Lots of first-time users who are betting their entire balance on China YES, and who are active in no other markets. Very suspicious.
@BrunoJ we can see if david can take a look (although nothing mods in particular can do). fwiw, that pattern doesn't seem all that suspicious by itself to me—IMO is a topic that often draws new people to the site, and it's not uncommon for new users to find one market that interests them and they care a lot about and bet on. (and like, it's not like there's any real goal to this manipulation—either these accounts will make some mana on this bet or they won't)
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@traders Is there a specific reason why China is at 90%? Those are near-certainty odds
@BrunoJ Not sure. But the second (final) day of the contest is over, so that if someone who was on the ground there (so to speak) collected impressions or stories from various contestants, they might well be able to form a reasonably firm opinion on who the likely winner will be. Basically, the contest is over even if no scores have been published, so information about what happened will be leaking out.
In a normal year, the probability China wins is probably over 90%. This year is a normal year.
Based on score predictions, 1 reasonably golds and China is predicted to have a relatively large lead.
@DottedCalculator Yeah! Sure, last year they lost... but that was only by 2 points! And also, doesn't that make them more motivated to do better?