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MANIFOLD
Next Millenium Prize Problem Solved?
6
Ṁ1kṀ958
2030
17%
Riemann Hypothesis
9%
P vs NP Problem
27%
Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap
22%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
24%
Hodge Conjecture

Resolves to the next problem considered to be solved by the consensus of the mathematical community. The actual prize isn’t strictly necessary for resolution, but it should be the formulation of the problem eligible for the prize.

If OpenAI’s claimed proof of Navier-Stokes is found to be flawed, that is ignored for the purposes of this market (i.e., it resolves to the next of these 5 listed problems to be considered solved, even if NS is “solved” in the future).

Market context
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