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MANIFOLD
Next Millenium Prize Problem Solved?
54
Ṁ1kṀ12k
2030
42%
Hodge Conjecture
26%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
17%
Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap
12%
Riemann Hypothesis
4%
P vs NP Problem

Resolves to the next problem considered to be solved by the consensus of the mathematical community. The actual prize isn’t strictly necessary for resolution, but it should be the formulation of the problem eligible for the prize.

If OpenAI’s claimed proof of Navier-Stokes is found to be flawed, that is ignored for the purposes of this market (i.e., it resolves to the next of these 5 listed problems to be considered solved, even if NS is “solved” in the future).

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bought Ṁ50 NO

@Ziddletwix assuming this is the "substantial progress" that openai supposedly made on hodge, i'm feeling fine about my NO bet

@Ziddletwix (this was my guess from skimming stuff but i see others think that quote might have been referring to other things so who knows)