Trump & Elon had a falling out.
This seems like the sort of issue Bill Ackman might comment on.
Resolves based on the word count of his first tweet that directly addresses the rift between Musk & Trump.
If no such tweet by end of July, resolves NO.
I will use wordcounter.net. E.g. Ackman's pinned tweet has 1674 words.
Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the interpretation of what it means for a tweet to 'directly address' the rift:
To be considered as 'directly addressing' the rift, a tweet must offer meaningful content or substantive commentary on the feud itself.
A tweet that merely signals an intent to discuss the topic (e.g., an introductory tweet in a thread like "My take on Elon vs Trump: 🧵" without further substance in that same tweet) will not be considered as 'directly addressing' the rift.
The market will resolve based on the first tweet that meets this criterion of substantively addressing the feud. For example, if an introductory tweet in a thread lacks substance, a subsequent tweet in that same thread that does substantively address the feud would be considered.
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@TimothyJohnson5c16 I would likely rule that as yes, because the first tweet in the thread isn't really "addressing" Elon vs Trump in any meaningful sense, it's just like, using the words "Elon vs Trump". The big tweet is the thing that addresses it.
That being said, I'm not so worried about that particular edge case because AFAIK Ackman doesn't really do threads, he just does really long tweets. he could definitely do some initial tweet that's just like some quick comment about how he hopes they don't fight, and that'd resolve NO, but the tweet needs to actually like, say something.