When will Trump turn on Elon?
29
100Ṁ6582026
1%
pre inauguration
1.2%
Q1 2025
22%
Q2 2025
40%
Q3 2025
19%
Q4 2025
16%
They stay buds through 2025
I determine the vibe shift--my threshold will be roughly when Trump starts belittling him in public on at least 3 occasions. My assumption is that the split will be obvious and dramatic and I won't count anything that isn't.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
29% chance
What month will Trump kick Elon Musk out of his inner circle?
Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?
45% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
70% chance
When will Elon Musk no longer play a significant role in the Trump Administration?
Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president
27% chance
Will Elon Musk be a citizen of the United States at the end of Trump's current term in office?
97% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out by EoY 2025?
30% chance
Elon Musk hooks up with a Trump
7% chance