As of July 1st, what will be top 3 highest grossing (domestic) films of 2024? (So far)
Mini
18
5.6k
resolved Jun 27
Resolved
YES
Dune: Part Two
·
5mo
Resolved
YES
Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire
·
5mo
Resolved
YES
Inside Out 2
·
5mo
Resolved
N/A
Despicable Me 4
·
5mo
Resolved
N/A
Deadpool 3
·
5mo
Resolved
NO
Kung Fu Panda 4
·
5mo
Resolved
NO
Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire
·
5mo
Resolved
NO
Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga
·
5mo
Resolved
NO
The Fall Guy
·
5mo
Resolved
NO
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
·
5mo
Resolved
NO
Garfield
·
5mo
Resolved
NO
Civil War
·
5mo

Each market will resolve YES if the named film is the top 3 of Box Office Mojo's 2024 domestic gross ranking, as of July 1st: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2024/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses. Otherwise, it resolves NO.

  • Modeled after this question, but the end of the year is very far away (we don't even know what movies will release in the fall) so I wanted a market for the first half of 2024.

  • Up to 3 options can resolve YES. Others can feel free to add their own options to cover any possibilities that are missing.

  • For reference, the top 3 as of question creation are Wonka, Mean Girls, and Anyone But You.

  • This is about "calendar gross" for 2024 (i.e. the "gross" column for Wonka excludes its December gross, whereas "total gross" would include that).

  • Bear in mind that some movies will not have completed their box office run by July 1st. For example, Inside Out 2 releases on June 14th, so <3 weeks of its box office will be included.

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@traders July 1st is almost here, & the top 3 are locked. I'll probably resolve some of the NOs early, i.e. the ones that have been hugely surpassed & are nowhere near the top 3 (& no longer grossing much) unless there are any objections.

predict the single winner of the summer in @mattyb ‘s market, last weekend of subsidized liquidity!

Despicable Me 4

This releases on July 3rd, 2024, so it should probably resolve N/A

@houstonEuler Oh you're totally right my bad. I misread the date, thought it said June 3rd. Will N/A it. My apologies to anyone who bet on the market with that included.

Deadpool 3

I'm resolving "Deadpool 3" with N/A because it isn't planned to release July 26th (after I will resolve the market). I don't want people losing their mana betting on it if they misread the question.

Deadpool 3

My bad, didn't read the question fully.

@houstonEuler No worries. Resolved N/A so no one should lose mana.

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