
I shamelessly take inspiration from this market by @IsaacKing
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-anyone-profit-by-at-least-m100-56baa429a7a9
This is not the exact opposite, as both can resolve YES together (even with a single market) and also not identical.
I will ignore bets placed to manipulate this market, such as someone using an alt account to bet against themselves and have one of the accounts "lose" by M$1,000,000. I want this to be about "real" profit on "real" markets.
Only profit reflected on Manifold counts, not any private manalink deals. Any markets that resolved prior to this market being created don't count.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ395 | |
2 | Ṁ307 | |
3 | Ṁ168 | |
4 | Ṁ107 | |
5 | Ṁ75 |
@Zardoru manifold took out 2.5 million out of his account. That means he's lost that amount. His 5 million position can't give him 5 million profit anymore. his balance is negative.
@AlexTurner Sure, but it seems people don't want to bet up to 99% odd before WvM actual resolution.
@Messi If we have any mana to bet, it's being split on 100 markets equivalent just like this one to "will WvM resolve NO?", and there's not enough money in the system to bet them all down.
@Zardoru You can see it under the "positions" tab. Change the "sort by" field from "positions" to "profit".