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MANIFOLD
Will Thomas Massie win an election in 2026?
21
Ṁ1kṀ8.1k
resolved May 22
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Thomas Massie wins any election in 2026. Resolves NO if he does not win any election in 2026 (including if he doesn't run for office.)

  • Update 2025-10-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A primary election does not count as winning an election for the purposes of this market.

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opened a Ṁ500 NO at 25% order

@ZaneMiller Does this only count general elections for government offices? Like random non-political elections don't count right.

Does A Primary count