Will Thomas Massie win an election in 2026?
7
1kṀ5852026
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Thomas Massie wins any election in 2026. Resolves NO if he does not win any election in 2026 (including if he doesn't run for office.)
Update 2025-10-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A primary election does not count as winning an election for the purposes of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Thomas Massie ever become the President of the USA?
13% chance
Thomas Massie wins Kentucky's 4th Republican primary in 2026?
83% chance
Will Rep. Thomas Massie run for and win Mitch McConnell's vacant senate seat in the 2026 Midterms?
32% chance
America party candidate wins any election in 2026?
17% chance
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
19% chance
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?
37% chance
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
19% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?