
Will chained PCE inflation increase more than 2% annualized in January 2024?
17
Ṁ290Ṁ4.5kresolved Feb 29
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This would entail a PCEPI above 121.6215 in January. Will close on February 29th according to the current release hosted here: https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index
Here’s what it’s looked like over the past 7 years:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ133 | |
| 2 | Ṁ89 | |
| 3 | Ṁ32 | |
| 4 | Ṁ26 | |
| 5 | Ṁ22 |
Sort by:
bought Ṁ4,000 YES
It increased by 4.2% annualized to a new value of 121.87
https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index
People are also trading
Related questions
Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?
33% chance
Next month's trailing 12-month CPI above 2.8%?
9% chance
Will the PCE price index in December 2026 be more than 2% above that in December 2025?
60% chance
What will be the highest annual PCE inflation in a report released between September 2025 and the midterms?
4.30
Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?
56% chance
Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years (2024-2028)?
89% chance
Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?
59% chance