MANIFOLD
How many points will I get by completing tasks before March 15th, 11:59 PM?
5
Ṁ175Ṁ196
resolved Mar 13
Resolved
~67.5 points
Resolved
YES
Above 0
Resolved
NO
Above 90
Resolved
YES
Above 15
Resolved
NO
Above 75
Resolved
YES
Above 30
Resolved
YES
Above 45
Resolved
YES
Above 60

Inspired by @gorillawarfare with their "Successful Week" markets. Go check them out!

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on the number of points gained between March 9, 12:01 AM PST and March 15, 11:59 PM PST. Points are gained by submitting assignments and completing tasks by their individual deadlines. Each assignment that meets the instructor's requirements and is submitted by its deadline counts as completed. The market resolves to a numeric value representing the total number of points earned.

Background

Updates from last time:

  • Predictions are based on number of points earned by completing assignments.

  • Includes daily tasks that I want to be consistent with rather than assignments only

For the newbies:

This is part of a series of personal commitment markets tracking assignment completion. Previous markets covered homework due by March 1st and March 8th. The format has changed slightly over the weeks. Below are links for your reference:

The creator uses these markets as motivation devices to ensure timely submission of coursework. For the next few markets, the creator is trying to establish baseline to move forward for future markets.

Tasks for the Week

Note: This week, there is a total of 95 points for a perfect week.

Daily Tasks: Due daily 11:59pm PST (+1 point each task per day unless stated otherwise below)

  • Check at least 2 emails

  • Exercise (+1 per exercise)

    • 5 pushups

    • 1 dead hang for 30 seconds

    • 2 pull ups

  • Washing hands

Daily Assignments: Due daily at 8am PST (+1 point each per day unless stated otherwise below)

  • Creating lesson plan

  • Creating materials (+1 point for each below)

    • Opening and closing slides

    • Worksheets

    • Homework

  • Posting announcements

Weekly Assignments: (+5 points each)

  • Due 3/9, 11:59pm PST

    • Resume/Cover Letter (Completed Late)

    • Reflection (Completed Late)

    • Logging Hours

    • Video Commenting (Completed Late)

    • Registering for classes

    • Registering for graduation

  • Due 3/10, 11:59pm PST

    • Family Engagement Plan

    • Mental Health Workshop (moved to 3/13, 11:59pm)

  • Due 3/13,

    • 4pm PST - Grade HW

    • 11:59pm PST - Quarterly Review

  • Due 3/15

    • 10:50am - Sunday lesson

Considerations

Resolution depends on meeting each task's and assignment's individual deadline rather than a single final cutoff. An assignment submitted after its deadline, even if before March 15th, does not count as completed for this market.

Personal Comments:

  • I will be betting on this market to motivate myself.

  • I will try to update my progress as I go along. (with comments and "hiding" weekly assignments once completed.)

  • If you have questions, feel free to comment below. I will update market context with the clarifications. I also will be adding more detail as time progresses for your convenience.

This description was generated by AI and the creator.

  • Update 2026-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The due date for the Mental Health Workshop has been pushed back to Friday, 3/13 at 11:59pm PST (originally due 3/10 at 11:59pm PST).

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Edit: I'm realizing there might be an error in my calculations, and I may be off by 5 😬. But this will not change the bets that were made.

Thanks for joining! I'll still be going and posting until the end of the week.

  • Completed on time: Quarterly Review

Edit -- I forgot the late component. Ignore the one above. Here it is with the late component:

Completed on time: Family Engagement Plan

Completed on time: Create lesson plan

Completed on time: Washing hands

Completed on time: Creating Worksheets

Completed on time: Opening and closing slides

Completed on time:

  • Lesson Plan

  • Worksheets (under Creating Materials)

Completed on time: Applied for graduation

Total points: 15/95

Max points currently attainable: 90

 

Completed on time: (+10)

  • Checked 2 emails (+1)

  • Registered for classes (+5)

  • Washing hands (+1)

  • Exercises (+3)

Completed on time: Checked 2 emails

Completed on time: Registered for classes

Professor has pushed back the due date for Mental Health Workshop to Friday, 3/13 11:59pm PST due to materials being inaccessible to students

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