Background Elon Musk has become an increasingly polarizing figure in popular culture. Recently, Tyler, The Creator modified lyrics during a performance to express disapproval of Musk, changing his song "911/Mr. Lonely" to include "Man f*ck Elon." While there are existing diss tracks about Musk on platforms like YouTube, no major artist has released a dedicated diss track about him to date.
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if a musical artist with at least 50,000 monthly listeners on Spotify (or equivalent following on another major music platform) releases a song that:
Is primarily focused on criticizing or mocking Elon Musk
Is officially released on major music streaming platforms (Spotify, Apple Music, etc.)
Contains Elon Musk's name or clear references to him in multiple verses or the chorus
The market will resolve NO if no such track is released by the resolution date.
Considerations
Brief mentions of Musk in songs or live performance modifications of existing songs will not count
Parody songs or unofficial releases on platforms like YouTube or SoundCloud will not count
The artist must have released music prior to this market's creation to be eligible
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,033 | |
| 2 | Ṁ911 | |
| 3 | Ṁ462 | |
| 4 | Ṁ460 | |
| 5 | Ṁ395 |
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@Panfilo I read the comment thread and reviewed your evidence. Based on site norms and the description, it appears that song would not count for this market. It is very rare for "actually this happened last month" to resolve markets on the site, and the description explicitly calls out that no existing track counted.
If it weren't for the description mentioning that, I would have been willing to consider other arguments but it feels like the No resolution matches site norms and the description here.
@Eliza They didn't say no existing track counted, they said no counting track exists. What you're saying would indicate exhaustive knowledge of eligible tracks, which they didn't have. They didn't know about the track I cited.
@mods can someone resolve this?
There are no proposed tracks that meet the yes criteria. Unless one is found this would resolve no.
@LarsOsborne @mods Can we please discuss the song I submitted earlier in the comments? I think the market is very ambiguous given it was predicated on saying no past song that met it’s criteria had been released, when at least one had. If you resolved this hastily, you may have just seen the more recent couple of comments and not known there was any controversy.
@Panfilo agreed, this seems very ambiguous and resolving to its current PROB or 50-50 all make more sense than a NO resolution due to the ambiguity. But I honestly believe it should be YES based on the track you found which meets all criteria.
@Yoae What if we find a song from before the market that matches your criteria, even though you said no such song exists?
@Panfilo Okay, revealing my hand here: There is a Spanish language diss track from 2022 that easily meets all standards. As the market maker seemed to think no song had been released yet, I think backdated information should count for Yes.
https://open.spotify.com/track/12Mv1RvyMa0GpO0XNUPfRz?si=cf0114a2ef764614
@ItsMe Description trumps title and description explicitly states one hasn't been released yet (by a major artist as defined by the market as of its creation), which is false.
@NzJack0n Interestingly, his Youtube version of the music video includes a screenshot of his followers at the time of posting, at over 6 million. At less than 1% that many monthly listeners on Youtube, he would pass the threshold.
