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Will an artist release a diss track about Elon Musk?
42
Ṁ1kṀ10k
resolved Jan 20
Resolved
NO

Background Elon Musk has become an increasingly polarizing figure in popular culture. Recently, Tyler, The Creator modified lyrics during a performance to express disapproval of Musk, changing his song "911/Mr. Lonely" to include "Man f*ck Elon." While there are existing diss tracks about Musk on platforms like YouTube, no major artist has released a dedicated diss track about him to date.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if a musical artist with at least 50,000 monthly listeners on Spotify (or equivalent following on another major music platform) releases a song that:

  1. Is primarily focused on criticizing or mocking Elon Musk

  2. Is officially released on major music streaming platforms (Spotify, Apple Music, etc.)

  3. Contains Elon Musk's name or clear references to him in multiple verses or the chorus

The market will resolve NO if no such track is released by the resolution date.

Considerations

  • Brief mentions of Musk in songs or live performance modifications of existing songs will not count

  • Parody songs or unofficial releases on platforms like YouTube or SoundCloud will not count

  • The artist must have released music prior to this market's creation to be eligible

Market context
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@mods can someone resolve this?

There are no proposed tracks that meet the yes criteria. Unless one is found this would resolve no.

@LarsOsborne @mods Can we please discuss the song I submitted earlier in the comments? I think the market is very ambiguous given it was predicated on saying no past song that met it’s criteria had been released, when at least one had. If you resolved this hastily, you may have just seen the more recent couple of comments and not known there was any controversy.

@Yoae please check out the Spanish language track I linked below

@Panfilo agreed, this seems very ambiguous and resolving to its current PROB or 50-50 all make more sense than a NO resolution due to the ambiguity. But I honestly believe it should be YES based on the track you found which meets all criteria.

Can anyone propose a song that meets the criteria?

Does the new Grimes song count?

how is 50k ml on spotify considered major lol

@BqlataPerla like top 2500 starts at millions

bought Ṁ100 NO

OP hasn't left a comment in about 5 months and I don't think anything released since the question was asked counts.

@Yoae What if we find a song from before the market that matches your criteria, even though you said no such song exists?

bought Ṁ750 YES

@Panfilo Okay, revealing my hand here: There is a Spanish language diss track from 2022 that easily meets all standards. As the market maker seemed to think no song had been released yet, I think backdated information should count for Yes.

https://open.spotify.com/track/12Mv1RvyMa0GpO0XNUPfRz?si=cf0114a2ef764614

bought Ṁ200 NO

"Will" is future tense

@ItsMe Description trumps title and description explicitly states one hasn't been released yet (by a major artist as defined by the market as of its creation), which is false.

@Panfilo Did The Music creator have 50k Listeners at time of creation

bought Ṁ750 YES

@NzJack0n Interestingly, his Youtube version of the music video includes a screenshot of his followers at the time of posting, at over 6 million. At less than 1% that many monthly listeners on Youtube, he would pass the threshold.

Would this have counted or is it too indirect?

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