Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045?
3
200Ṁ202044
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
“Yes” Resolution:
The market resolves to Yes if before January 1st 2045, at least one nuclear fusion facility meets these requirements:The facility must demonstrate a net energy gain, producing more electrical energy than the total energy required to sustain and operate the reactor
Is connected to a power grid (so that homes, businesses, or other customers use this electricity).
Maintains a net electrical output of at least 1 megawatt to the grid.
Operates under the above conditions for a sustained period of at least 30 consecutive days.
“No” Resolution:
If no such fusion power plant has met the above conditions by January 1st 2045, the market resolves to No.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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