Will an AI get gold on this Olympiad by the end of 2025?
8
1kṀ2152026
77%
International Mathematical Olympiad
39%
International Physics Olympiad
34%
International Chemistry Olympiad
74%
International Olympiad in Informatics
34%
International Biology Olympiad
34%
International Astronomy Olympiad
34%
International Earth Science Olympiad
34%
International Olympiad on Astronomy & Astrophysics
Resolution Criteria:
The AI must win Gold in that particular Olympiad Competition before the end of 2025. The question set up allows people to vote yes or no for each listed Olympiad competition.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
79% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
60% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
88% chance
Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
76% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2026?
81% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) before 2026?
91% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
86% chance
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
64% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2030?
95% chance