Will an AI get gold on this Olympiad by the end of 2025?
11
1kṀ4322026
72%
International Mathematical Olympiad
39%
International Physics Olympiad
35%
International Chemistry Olympiad
65%
International Olympiad in Informatics
34%
International Biology Olympiad
39%
International Astronomy Olympiad
39%
International Earth Science Olympiad
35%
International Olympiad on Astronomy & Astrophysics
Resolution Criteria:
The AI must win Gold in that particular Olympiad Competition before the end of 2025. The question set up allows people to vote yes or no for each listed Olympiad competition.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
68% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
30% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
32% chance
AI IMO 2025: How many AI labs announce a Gold performance at the IMO in 2025?
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
78% chance
Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
67% chance
Will an AI publicly accessible before IMO 2025 get the gold medal on it?
22% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
84% chance
Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?
99% chance
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
86% chance