Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the original main building of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington, D.C. undergoes demolition (i.e., is razed, torn down, or has its structural integrity permanently leveled) during Donald Trump's presidency.

This market resolves to NO if Donald Trump's presidency ends (currently scheduled for January 20, 2029) without the main building being demolished.

Clarifications:

• Demolition: To qualify as demolished, the core building designed by Edward Durell Stone must be physically torn down or undergo substantial structural destruction. Ongoing closures, renovations, safety repairs, name changes, or cosmetic physical alterations do not qualify.

• Pre-demolition work: If a complete demolition process officially begins (e.g., heavy machinery or implosions actively dismantling the main building) before Trump leaves office, this resolves to YES, even if cleanup or final site clearing is completed after his term ends.

• Sources: Resolution will be determined by reports from major news organizations (e.g., The Washington Post, The New York Times, CBS News) or official public announcements from the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts.

Background

In September 2026, the Trump-appointed board of trustees voted to temporarily shutter the Kennedy Center, citing structural deterioration and public safety risks. This prompted a legal challenge by trustee Rep. Joyce Beatty (D-Ohio). Tensions escalated when photojournalists captured images of President Trump on Air Force One holding a printout that appeared to read "Kennedy Center DEMOLISHED", and Trump remarked that the building could end up being "ripped down". On September 17, 2026, U.S. District Judge Christopher Cooper ordered the administration to provide at least 30 days' notice before conducting any demolition or major construction at the site.

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