Will Clarence Thomas be a SCOTUS justice after 1 year?
27
91
490
May 6
97%
chance

Definitions

  • SCOTUS here means "The supreme court of the united states"

Situation

Resolution criteria

Yes

  • Clarance Thomas is still a supreme court justice at this market's close

No

  • At any period during this market's lifetime Clarance Thomas is no longer a supreme court justice whether by death, successful impeachment or resignation

N/A

  • SCOTUS no longer exists at any period during this market's lifetime

50%

  • This market never resolves 50%

Ambiguity

Any ambiguity with resolution conditions will be resolved by me in the way I feel best fits the spirit of the market. If you point out any ambiguity to me in the comments, I'll do my best to respond and update the market description with my resolution.

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

That man is only leaving SCOTUS in a box. No way in hell he resigns, especially not when there’s a Dem in the WH

bought Ṁ15 of YES

I've updated the market description to clarify death as a valid way for Clarence Thomas to no longer be a SCOTUS justice