Will the S&P 500 increase in 2023? | Manifold

Will the S&P 500 increase in 2023?

83

closes Jan 6

91%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will S&P 500 increase from open on 3 January 2023 (3853.29) to close on 29 December 2023?

Source: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

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some base rates (1927–2022)

S&P down ~32% of years
~36% of down years followed by an up year
https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-returns

Steven sold Ṁ181 YES at 91%

Steven sold Ṁ366 YES from 92% to 91%

Ithaca filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ22 NO at 92% (cancelled) 🤖

Ithaca filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ4 NO at 92% 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 92% 🤖

Steven bought Ṁ300 YES from 91% to 92%

Steven sold Ṁ183 YES from 92% to 91%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 92% 🤖

na pewno bought Ṁ100 YES from 91% to 92%

Andrew McKnight bought Ṁ103 YES at 91%

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES at 91%

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES at 91%

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES from 90% to 91%

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES at 90%

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES at 90%

Gary Grenda sold Ṁ315 YES from 91% to 90%

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES from 90% to 91%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 90% 🤖

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES at 90%

Steven bought Ṁ130 YES from 89% to 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 89% 🤖

na pewno bought Ṁ360 YES from 87% to 89%

Andrew McKnight bought Ṁ50 YES at 87%

Sky sold Ṁ105 YES at 87%

Andrew McKnight bought Ṁ2 YES at 87%

na pewno sold Ṁ54 YES from 88% to 87%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 88% 🤖

na pewno bought Ṁ225 YES from 86% to 87%

na pewno sold Ṁ99 YES at 86%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 86% 🤖

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES from 85% to 86%

na pewno bought Ṁ50 YES at 85%

Steven bought Ṁ25 NO from 86% to 85%

VeatBot bought Ṁ98 YES from 85% to 86% 🤖

na pewno bought Ṁ50 YES at 85%

mvdm sold Ṁ20 NO from 84% to 85%

Steven bought Ṁ50 YES from 83% to 84%

VeatBot bought Ṁ120 YES from 82% to 83% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ17 NO from 83% to 82% 🤖

Sky bought Ṁ100 YES from 82% to 83%

JAAM bought Ṁ1 YES at 82%

VeatBot bought Ṁ25 NO from 83% to 82% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ16 NO from 84% to 83% 🤖

Steven bought Ṁ55 NO from 86% to 84%

Gary Grenda bought Ṁ25 YES at 86%

Steven bought Ṁ200 YES from 85% to 86%

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES from 84% to 85%

Steven bought Ṁ100 YES from 83% to 84%

Gary Grenda bought Ṁ179 YES from 81% to 83%

MHKFA sold Ṁ193 YES from 83% to 81%

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33. Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023?

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31. Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?

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What will be the performance of the S&P 500 in 2023?

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Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2024?

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