31. Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?

Question

IE will it end the year higher than it began?

This is question #31 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here. Market will resolve according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Dec 29, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.