Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
50
Ṁ222Ṁ4.5k2027
68%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if Senator Mitch McConnell is alive at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on January 3, 2027 (the constitutional end of his Senate term).
If he passes away at any point before this exact date and time, the market resolves to NO.
Resolution based on consensus reporting from major news organizations (e.g., AP News, Reuters, New York Times).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026?
89% chance
Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
32% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
43% chance
Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before August 3, 2026?
19% chance
Will Mitch McConnell speak this year?
88% chance
Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?
10% chance
When will Mitch McConnell retire?
On which days will Mitch McConnell be alive
Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026?
24% chance
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
58% chance