Will a penalty kick be scored during the semifinals of the World Cup?
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แน€230
resolved Dec 13
Resolved
YES

only including pks that come off of penatlies, so I'm excluding shoot-outs.

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sold แน€16 of NO

After Messi penalty tonight, this can be resolved YES, right?

bought แน€50 of NO

I think this is unlikely. Only about 20% of games see a penalty and 25% of penalties are missed. Stats may be a bit different in knockout games but I doubt so much as it make it >50%.