MANIFOLD
Will Artemis II launch before May?
15
Ṁ100Ṁ221
Apr 30
41%
chance

Resolves YES if the Artemis II mission launches on or before April 31st

  • Update 2026-02-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A launch before April (e.g., in March) will also resolve YES.

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Space
SpaceX
Artemis program
Rockets
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Maybe rename to "Will Artemis II launch before May".

bought Ṁ10 YES

My reading of the description is that a March Launch will resolve YES.

@LarsOsborne March is currently off the table https://x.com/NASAAdmin/status/2025249086908125630, but based off how I wrote the description, theoretically if Artemis II launches in March anyway this would resolve to YES.

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