Will Russell crow in 2023?
43%
chance

Resolves YES if I find strong evidence of Russell Crowe crowing, and the crowing was done in 2023. Resolves NO otherwise.

Any of the three definitions of the verb "crow" mentioned in the link above will suffice. I.e., this market resolves YES if Russell Crowe makes a "loud shrill sound characteristic of a cock," makes "a sound expressive of pleasure," or blatantly brags/gloats, and I find out about it.

Resolves YES if he crows in character for a film. Resolves YES even if the crowing was done before market creation.

Inspired by:

/Sinclair/will-jim-carry-by-the-end-of-2023
/xyz/will-russell-brand-by-the-end-of-20
/IsaacKing/will-tom-cruise-by-the-end-of-2023

Related markets

Will Russell Brand by the end of 2023?4%
Will Harrison ford in 2023?8%
Will Will Smith by the end of 2023?4%
Will Brad Pit by the end of 2023?4%
Will Ryan Gosling before the end of 2023?2%
Will Jim carry by the end of 2023?80%
Will Tom Cruise by the end of 2023?25%
Will Russel Brand interview a guest about Georgism in 2023?26%
Will Jose Luis Ricon become a WGWAG by the end of 2023?31%
Will David Grusch's non-human tech claims be confirmed by 2023-end?3%
Will Rupert Murdoch survive 2023?81%
Will Rex return to Austin in 2023?54%
Will @v still be running at the end of 2023?8%
Will Mitch McConnell resign as Minority Leader by the end of 2023?21%
Will Scott Alexander bang Aella before 2025?9%
Will Orlando Bloom by the end of 2023?64%
Will Scott Alexander join a London Rationalish meetup in 2023?14%
Will Ben Wallace lose his job in 2023?69%
Will Olivier Rioux play in a regular season NBA game by 2031?48%
Will Michael Sherwood pass the New York bar exam by the end of 2025?3%