![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FHaq8P51K9J.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Dbbac8c87-b8b0-4cd2-91ca-c303fbbeac01&w=3840&q=75)
Will Russell Brand by the end of 2023?
Mini
13
Ṁ2.3kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if I find strong evidence that Russell Brand has branded something (with a hot piece of metal) before the end of the year. Otherwise resolves NO.
(Doesn't count any instances of Russell Branding before market creation.)
Inspired by /IsaacKing/will-tom-cruise-by-the-end-of-2023
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ22 | |
2 | Ṁ13 | |
3 | Ṁ12 | |
4 | Ṁ6 | |
5 | Ṁ3 |
Sort by:
@Sinclair I'm leaning no. I think opening up the definition to brand creation could make it hard to judge since "creating a brand" is inherently abstract (if he pivots his podcast style without changing the name is that creating a brand, or is it only changing what the brand "Under the Skin" refers to?), and I think changing the definition could be unfair to NO traders who've bet on the more restricted definition in the description.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Destiny appear on the Joe Rogan Podcast by the end of 2024
19% chance
Will a Manifold celebrity appear on the Joe Rogan Experience by EOY 2024?
48% chance
Will Kanye West orbit the Earth before the end of 2031?
26% chance
Will 20021 come out by the end of 2024?
24% chance
Will Joe Rogan quit podcasting before 2030?
17% chance
Will Elon Musk quit Twitter by the end of 2024?
6% chance