How many votes will Kamala Harris receive in Pennsylvania? (Multiple Choice)
Plus
7
แน696Nov 11
2%
Harris Less than 3,000,000
2%
Harris 3,000,000-3,099,999
2%
Harris 3,100,000-3,199,999
4%
Harris 3,200,000-3,299,999
24%
Harris 3,300,000-3,399,999
45%
Harris 3,400,000-3,499,999
14%
Harris 3,500,000-3,599,999
3%
Harris 3,600,000-3,699,999
2%
Harris 3,700,000-3,799,999
2%
Harris 3,800,000 or more
How many votes will Kamala Harris receive in the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
In 2020, Biden received 3,458,229 votes and Trump received 3,377,674 votes.
In 2016, Trump received 2,970,733 votes and Clinton received 2,926,441 votes.
Arbitrage between identical questions in two formats:
Set Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re-52hN9Usd8Z
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r-C0yPs2dqZl
Multiple Choice Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r
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