How many votes will Kamala Harris receive in the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
In 2020, Biden received 3,458,229 votes and Trump received 3,377,674 votes.
In 2016, Trump received 2,970,733 votes and Clinton received 2,926,441 votes.
Arbitrage between identical questions in two formats:
Set Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re-52hN9Usd8Z
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r-C0yPs2dqZl
Multiple Choice Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r
1,000
3.00@mods I resolved this market prematurely and don't see an option to un-resolve it. Can you un-resolve it? "Harris 3,400,000 or more" should resolve YES, not NO.