How many votes will Donald Trump receive in Pennsylvania? (Set)
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8
Ṁ7225resolved Nov 13
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YESTrump 3,500,000 or more
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YESTrump 3,400,000 or more
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YESTrump 3,300,000 or more
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YESTrump 3,000,000 or more
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YESTrump 3,100,000 or more
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YESTrump 3,200,000 or more
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NOTrump 3,600,000 or more
Resolved
NOTrump 3,700,000 or more
Resolved
NOTrump 3,800,000 or more
How many votes will Donald Trump receive in the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
In 2020, Biden received 3,458,229 votes and Trump received 3,377,674 votes.
In 2016, Trump received 2,970,733 votes and Clinton received 2,926,441 votes.
Arbitrage between identical questions in two formats:
Set Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re-52hN9Usd8Z
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r-C0yPs2dqZl
Multiple Choice Question Format
Trump: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-donald-trump-re
Harris: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/how-many-votes-will-kamala-harris-r
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1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00